Munchkin

Archive for December, 2007

Dec28

Uncertainty In Climate Models: A ‘better than nothing’ estimate.

At Climate Audit, Bender periodically wonders whether anyone knows the precision of a single run of a Global Climate Models (GCMs). My answer is: ±0.08K. Sort of. That is, for Hansen’s Scenarios A, B & C as they apply to the decade from 1973-1983. I’ll explain what I mean by precision, why I […]

Continue Reading »

Filed in: global climate change

Dec27

Carbon Dioxide Sequestration Thread

The Zamboni went through at Climate Audit to eliminate discussion of Carbon Dioxide Sequestration. I know absolutely nothing about this topic, but you can discuss it here anyway.
The rules are:

The topic is about Carbon Dioxide sequestration. If you want a different topic, I’ll open that.
If you have a theory, describe the theory and explain […]

Continue Reading »

Filed in: global climate change


Dec20

Time Constant for Climate: Greater than Schwartz Suggests!

A recent empirical analysis, Schwartz (2007), suggests that the time constant for the earth’s climate may be as low as 5 years. If so, the climate sensitivity of the earth may be much lower than suggested by Climate models. That estimate did not account for the effect of in field measurement uncertainty on the […]

Continue Reading »

Filed in: global climate change

Dec10

The GCM Predictions: The 100 Year Control Run

Have GCM’s been proven able to predict changes in the Global-Mean Annual-Mean Temperatures? That is the question.
I’m pursuing the answer and beginning by examining the predictions contained in Hansen et. al 1988,
This paper contains two distinction types of runs, each of which could be said to contain a numerical experiments of sorts; in […]

Continue Reading »

Filed in: global climate change


Dec10

Can GCMs Predict Annual Mean Global Temperature?

I firmly believe CO2 will tend to cause global warming and the effect is sufficiently large to worry about. That said, I’m also interested in reading the questions and arguments presented by skeptics. Many of these questions can be found in the unthreaded posts at Climate Audit.
Not being an expert in […]

Continue Reading »

Filed in: global climate change

Dec3

New Climate Blog?

The idea of starting a new climate blog was introduced by bender on ‘Unthreaded 26″ at Climate Audit”.
One of the nice things about Climate Audit is the rapid discussion and the mild amount of editing. At the same time, Steve M likes many discussions to stay on topic, so as to […]

Continue Reading »

Filed in: Uncategorized




 

Popular Categories

No categories

About

You have no about page, you should add one through the admin interface, or edit 'footer.php' and put some super cool information here!

  • Recent Trackbacks:

    • Atmoz: Using Auto-Regressive Time Series to Constrain Calculated Temperature Trends
    • The Blackboard: IPCC projections do falsify (Or Are Swedes Tall?)
    • Climate Review: Schwartz und die Klimasensitivität
    • The Blackboard: The Volcano Blows! Dealing with Effect of Forcing for Global Climate Change
    • The Blackboard: What is the Climate Time Constant? Refining the Estimate I.