The Blackboard

Ahhh… the joys of smoothing. The splendors of Mannian minimum roughness! In comments, on articles in the “Fishy” series, people have been asking about the whole “end point condition” issue and how it relates to Rahmstorf’s foolish “method” of testing projections. (The Rahmstorf’s chosen method seems to involve a) guessing future data and b) smoothing [...]

As a Chicagoan, I always chuckle when I read UK news reports about killer weather. Take this example from the UK Met office which begins Britain is turning into a pressure cooker as hot, steamy air and intense sunshine roasts the country and kicks off the first serious heatwave of summer. My reaction: July is [...]

Those following the fishtale of m=11 smoothing to test the TAR projection will be interested to learn that Stefan Rahmstorf confirms what we, in the more “excitable” part of the blogosphere, suspected: He has abandoned m=11 year smoothing to test observations against models. He now uses m=15 years. JeanS shows the difference in trend projections [...]

The Climate Depot: They linked Michael Tobis twice; Traffic exploded.   I was visiting Only In It For the Gold where Michael Tobis mentioned Climate Depot drove lots of traffic. Someone asked, “How much?” Michael answered, “About 25 visitors an hour this afternoon, mostly first-timers, coming from Morano. I’m sure he’d like someone for an [...]

Monckton’s June Missive invokes “Godwin’s Rule of Nazi Analogies”. So it is that the intellectual descendents of Goebbels are chained to the work-benches of their spin-factories, churning out an interminable series of colorful fantasies, each repeating and magnifying its predecessor, yet all having no point of contact with reality or truth. As usual, the Viscount’s [...]

In late May, I mentioned blog had been the victim of a script injection attack which I cleared up. Tetris had noticed that the WUWT and CA had been attacked during the year and thought the attacks might be politically motivated. I doubted that theory. The reason tetris notices sites he visits are attacked is [...]

Today’s The Breakthrough Blog post begins Waxman-Markey would reduce the amount of renewable energy deployed in the United States relative to business-as-usual, increase the amount of coal-fired electricity generation relative to 2005 levels, and provide no incentive for a move to cleaner cars, according to a new analysis by the U.S. EPA The EPA reports [...]

Are the TAR and AR “projections” really different? This question seems to be asked constantly at blogs, so I wanted to created graphs that I think permit a fair comparisons. In a recent post I tried to compare the AR4 projections to the TAR projections using the “crayon” method. Boris asked a few good questions [...]

The scientist: Jim Hansen. Report from describes the specific action leading to the arrest as Hannah, Hansen, former Rep. Ken Hechler and 27 others then sat on the road and were arrested on misdemeanor charges of obstruction and impeding traffic. Like Hannah, Hansen and Hechler (HHH), I’m not a big fan of mountaintop removal mining. [...]

Like a budding Cassandra, VG has been predicting the upcoming UAH anomaly will be negative. As early as June 11, he posted this: Be prepared for a 0 or below for June 2009 http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/ channel 5 There is no El Nino…. yet. I replied, VG– Don’t count your chickens before they are hatched. We’ll need [...]