The Blackboard

Have you been following the Douglas vs. Santer bout? Do you remember the blog controversies that asked “Why did Santer stop analysis at December 1999 when Douglas ran analyses through 2004?” Have you been hoping someone would get TLT data we can compare to UAH and RSS? (Yes, I mean you VG.)
Well, Chad decided [...]

Eagle eyed Chip Knappenberger noticed fiery-tounged Joe Romm offered a bet he would win even if the IPCC multi-model mean over-predicts warming. In a post where he sets flame to Andy Revkin Joe makes this offer:
“I will be happy to bet anyone that the 2010s will be the hottest decade in the temperature record, [...]

Rumor has it that El Nino is weakening. But, as far as I can tell, NOAA is predicting a continuuing El Nino. So, I think this means it’s time to bet on the value NOAA will publish for the NINO 3.4 3 month average for ASO. That is, we will bet the number [...]

It’s not to late to revise your bets for September’s UAH TLT reading. I know each of you have your own betting method, but I always watch the Channel 5 AMSU. Either that satellite drifted into “hot” territory or September is looking scorching hot. Here’s my version of the graphic; the daily temperature are [...]

In comments, JK asked:
Has anyone checked the trends in UAH/RSS vs the models? Also, I believe Dr. Pielke Sr, Jr. et al published a paper showing that the trends for NCDC et al are likely overstated due to boundary condition measurement issues.
Has anyone plotted their revised views vs. the models? I believe they don’t plot [...]

All the surface temperature anomalies are in for August 2009. Trends since 1990 and 2001 are shown below and compared to the multi-model mean trend from the AR4:
As many are aware, both Hadley and NOAA reported August anomalies exceeded July anomalies. Specifically:

Hadley reported 0.532C up from 0.499 in July. NOAA reported [...]

Roger Pielke Jr. discussed Knight et al, which evidently appeared in BAMS. I obtained a very short PDF). The paper is rather difficult to discuss, mostly because it is rather vague. Presumably, this could be remedied by sending a volley of email to the authors, but… really.. the point of a paper [...]

I’ve been in Wisconsin. When I got home, I surfed over to Roger’s blog to see if there were any more comments about the Pielke-Morano debate. I discovered the most flagrant demonstration of Godwin’s law I’d ever seen. Get this
How Climate Denialists Like Marc Morano and Anthony Watts, among other well-intentioned by seriously misguided [...]

Mike C wants to know how he can cash in his quatloos. This made me realize that I had no idea what a Quatloo looks like, so I went hunting for some honest to goodness Quatloos. I found this:

Clearly, The Providers must have been thinking about their carbon footprint when they included an image of [...]

The August betting pool was fun, so we are repeating for September. Enter your projection for the value Roy Spencer will report for UAH’s September Lower Troposphere reading.
You can enter until sometime late on Sunday September 20.