GISS October Anomaly: Same as September.
GISS published the land/ocean anomaly for October 2009: 0.66C. This equals their anomaly for September. That is, it matches the value for September as published in November. The September anomaly in the Google cache is 0.65C. (I was wondering if this would change much given Hadley’s reticence in processing September data. A change of 0.01C is not “much”.)
Below, I show the anomalies since 2000 and 2001 compared to the multi-model mean trend from runs of the A1B models form the AR4:
In case you are wondering:
- This ties with Oct. 2003 but is exceeded by Oct 2005. I guess that makes it the 2nd hottest October.
- The least squares trends since January 2000 and 2001 are both positive.
I’ll compare more specifically to models when HadCrut posts.
Everyone have a nice weekend!
Comments Closed: If you would like them re-opened, Contact Lucia



Comments
DG (Comment#23474) November 13th, 2009 at 10:29 pm
Have you tracked the HadCRU changes?
lucia (Comment#23487) November 14th, 2009 at 7:29 am
DG–
I don’t keep an archive. But I subscribe the change alert. So, they’ll let me know when HadCrut makes changes to their page.
R Taylor (Comment#23529) November 14th, 2009 at 5:13 pm
What link are you using to the land-ocean data? Since November 13, I have been unable to get through with the link http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gist.....s+dSST.txt.
I have created an IPCC Watch document, and updated it with the figure you quoted. If you want to have a look, the link is http://docs.google.com/filevie.....&hl=en.
lucia (Comment#23540) November 14th, 2009 at 7:35 pm
R Taylor–
I use http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gist.....s+dSST.txt
I had been reloading… and it suddenly showed the update. (I was surprised since i’d reloaded 15minutes before.) Oddly, Change Detection hasn’t sent me a notice!
I just tried to get that page to load and it’s not loading for me now either.
lucia (Comment#23542) November 14th, 2009 at 7:39 pm
Actually, I can’t even get http://data.giss.nasa.gov/ to load. Maybe their servers are down.
PaulM (Comment#23599) November 16th, 2009 at 8:25 am
Hmm. The satellite numbers are down significantly but GISS remains high. Does anyone recall what happened this time last year?
http://globalwarmingquestions.googlepages.com/giss
lucia (Comment#23601) November 16th, 2009 at 9:16 am
PaulM–
If GISS made an ‘October 2008′ mistake, we’d know it by now.
Fred Nieuwenhuis (Comment#23716) November 19th, 2009 at 12:13 pm
Hadley is out. 2009/10 0.437
Funny, it seems the Canadian data is missing from GIS, Hadley and NOAA… A Note from NOAA:
“Please Note: This preliminary assessment was made before data from Canada was made available. Therefore, some of the ranks presented in this report could change slightly when Canadian data is included in the final record. The inclusion of the missing data may cause modest changes to global-scale ranks. The assessment for Northern Hemisphere land temperatures could change by several ranks.”
Fred Nieuwenhuis (Comment#23717) November 19th, 2009 at 12:17 pm
Good thing Canada was mostly cool.
http://www.agr.gc.ca/pfra/drou.....09_10e.pdf
lucia (Comment#23719) November 19th, 2009 at 1:10 pm
Fred– We were mostly cool too. I’m waiting for Hadley. NOAA was quite a bit cooler than GISS.
Fred Nieuwenhuis (Comment#23720) November 19th, 2009 at 1:43 pm
Hadley IS out. See my comment #23716
lucia (Comment#23721) November 19th, 2009 at 1:46 pm
Thanks fred! (Interesting. . .)
steven mosher (Comment#23722) November 19th, 2009 at 1:55 pm
Lucia,
Found this on JeffIds site.
http://noconsensus.wordpress.c.....en-letter/
It contains over 1000 mails. IF TRUE …
1 mail from you and the correspondence that follows.
And, you get to see somebody with the name of phil jones say that he would rather destroy the CRU data than release it to McIntyre.
And lots lots more. including how to obstruct or evade FOIA requests. and guess who funded the collection of cores at Yamal.. and transferred money into a personal account in Russia
And you get to see what they really say behind the curtain..
you get to see how they “shape” the news, how they struggled between telling the truth and making policy makers happy.
you get to see what they say about Idso and pat micheals, you
get to read how they want to take us out into a dark alley, it’s stunning all very stunning. You get to watch somebody named phil jones say that John daly’s death is good news.. or words to that effect.
I don’t know that its real..
But the CRU code looks real
lucia (Comment#23723) November 19th, 2009 at 1:58 pm
Steve— IF true.
lucia (Comment#23740) November 19th, 2009 at 4:04 pm
I’m “unapproving” some of emails from the zip file because I’m concerned about the copyright issue.
Meanwhile, Jeff took down the comment. So your only hope is entering the address of is page and seeing if the link is still in Google’s cache. . .
The Mosher Timeline « Climate Audit (Pingback#29961) January 12th, 2010 at 10:33 pm
[...] blog with Mosh front and center. At 2.55 pm Eastern (1.55 Lucia blog time) , Mosh posted the first comment recognizing the contents of the emails, pointing in turn to the Jeff Id’s where the hyperlink [...]
Climategate—The CTM story « Watts Up With That? (Pingback#30064) January 13th, 2010 at 6:37 pm
[...] was in the air about to land in Dulles but the cat was now out of the bag and Steve Mosher started posting on Lucia’s blog and about the same time I posted an email on Bishop Hill’s blog in the Caspar and the Jesus paper [...]
Climategate, The CRUtape Letters » Climategate: feiten en duiding in het klimaatdebat (Pingback#30306) January 15th, 2010 at 7:22 am
[...] de hel losbrak op 19 november 2009. Hij was ook de eerste die er op Lucia’s The Blackboard over begon te schrijven en vlak daarna op Climate Audit. Lucia pikte het commentaar van Mosher op en publiceerde het eerste [...]