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UAH TTL October Quatloo Betting.

15 October, 2009 (10:08) | Betting Written by: lucia

Time to bet on October’s Temperature Anomaly which will be reported by Dr. Roy Spencer the first few days in November. Visitors from blog action day are welcome to try guessing the anomaly along with the rest of us. Regular readers know that we have some advance warning on this based on daily readings from the Channel 5 AMSU. Because Roy Spencer uses a different satellite to compute the temperature anomaly for the month, guessing the anomaly is not easy!

To help everyone bet, I’ve plotted October’s anomalies posted for October. As you can see, the troposphere remains warm: UAHOctober

To enter a bet, fill out the form below. You can enter until sometime late on Sunday October 25!

This pool closed on the 25th of October 2009
Bets Placed Quatloos for UAH TTL October, 2009 Predictions.
NamePrediction (C)Bet
Cassanders 0.4873
Mark Smith 0.33
Blue Sky 0.383
Blue Sky 0.383
steve 0.4563
Zeke 0.473
B Buckner 0.4213
John F. Pittman 0.3723
Jorge 0.3173
Pavel Panenka 0.4653
Brendan Bouffler 0.185
Lance Appleby 0.2433
colin Aldridge 0.413
TerryMN 0.425
George Tobin 0.3954
Dudley Robertson 0.3872
Robert Leyland 0.2542
Chuck L 0.2743
Hal 0.3823
Swift 0.2845
Les Johnson 0.455
Greg Meurer 0.3722
Neven 0.352
lucia 0.54
hempster 0.255
Michael Hauber 0.4045
LeeW 0.3893
Niels A Nielsen 0.4435
rob r 0.44
Peter Thompson 0.395
MikeP 0.35
MikeP 35
Ryan O 0.2371
Carlo -0.1275
Tom Harrah 0.513
Robert Leyland -0.4514
Pieter 0.3423
Diego Cruz 0.2055
Kåre Kristiansen 0.223
Adam 0.5115
Marcus 0.4322
Erick WOdarz -0.15
Michael Hauber 0.4245
Denis 0.382
Jeff Id 0.425
Francis 0.3893
Andrew Kennett 0.453
John F. Pittman 0.4223
John Knapp 0.324
David Gould 4.873
Rob Waldie 0.225
Joel Heinrich 0.2984
Greg Meurer 0.472
Ed S 0.425
edward 0.5332
Paul Demmert 0.574
SamuelJ 0.4822
Laws of Nature 0.5325
David L. Hagen 0.3493
jack mosevich 0.44
Tim Walkowski 0.4893
Predictions shown in reverse chronological order.


Note to Europeans, the data base wants to see decimal places, not commas. So, enter values like 0.42 not 0,42. Thanks!

Frequently asked questions:

  1. What’s a Quatloo? A quatloo is a monetary unit on the planet Triskelion.
  2. Can I change my bet? Yes. Just enter a new bet. The program will count your final bet in any particular pool.
  3. What’s my email used for? To avoid thinking everyone named “jim” or “joe” are the same person, my betting script sorts by email address. However, your email will not be displayed; your winnings are displayed by name.
  4. Could the script used for betting be screwed up? Yes. If it’s pretty new but it’s been working fine. Let me know if anything goes wrong.
  5. Will the script used for betting be improved over time? Yes. Sometime. I’m planning to write a portion to track and post the long term winnings soon.
  6. When will results be announced? Results are scheduled to be announced as quite soon after Dr. Spencer posts his observations. However, last month, family matters interfered. I anticipate posting results by Nov. 6, 2009.
Written by lucia.

Comments

John F. Pittman (Comment#21654)

Lucia, it appears that the October data I see is September. Especially since it states September 20 on the graph.

lucia (Comment#21658)

Thanks John… fixed. I somehow cut and pasted last months image!

Erick Wodarz (Comment#21700)

IMO, It’s going to be a pretty big drop because of all the arctic air that came through during OCT.

MikeP (Comment#21904)

Oops, I think I just typed 3.0 instead of 0.30. No way I think that there’s going to be an anomaly that high!!! By the way, I used the incredibly sophisticated model of subtracting 0.12 from last month’s winner.

 

Comments Closed: If you would like them re-opened, Contact Lucia