How many of you think the measurements of GMST are imprecise? As in, they might contain errors of some sort? I do.
Nevertheless, up to now, I have been performing hypothesis tests applying the assumption that the time series data for global mean surface temperature (GMST) are AR(1) distributed. I have [...]
Archive for the 'IPCC' Category
Jul24
Accounting for Measurement Uncertainty.
Filed in: Climate Sensitivity Data Comparisons GHE IPCC Learning R Uncategorized
Jun18
Does the IPCC Describe Uncertainties Quantitatively?
Does the IPCC describe uncertainties in a quantitative way that is accessible to readers? I expressed my opinion in comments: the IPCC generally resorts to qualitative discussions, and in particular, they become quite qualitative when discussing individual models.
I think this vagueness is unfortunate as it results in various people arguing about [...]
Filed in: IPCC
May14
Do IPCC projections falsify? (Are Swedes Tall?)
Recently, Gavin at Real Climate suggested that the IPCC projections don’t falsify. He also explained the reasons he thinks they do not.
Today, I will explain that the IPCC projections do indeed falsify in any sense that is meaningful. But, you don’t think so, I think I will demonstrate you must also think [...]
Filed in: Climate Sensitivity IPCC
