Accounting For ENSO: Cochrane Orcutt
Issues and Resolutions: My recent falsification of the IPCC AR4 projection of 2C/century was criticized as flawed because: It did not properly account for ENSO. Cochrane-Orcutt, and its uncertainty bands apply only when the noise is AR(1). I have addressed both issues (details below), and find the falsification still holds. It is important to note [...]
