Accounting For ENSO: Cochrane Orcutt
Issues and Resolutions:
My recent falsification of the IPCC AR4 projection of 2C/century was criticized as flawed because:
It did not properly account for ENSO.
Cochrane-Orcutt, and its uncertainty bands apply only when the noise is AR(1).
I have addressed both issues (details below), and find the falsification still holds. It is important to note that this falsification [...]
