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Tag: ENSO

Gavin Schmidt Corrects for ENSO: IPCC Projections Still Falsify

5 July, 2008 (11:19) | Data Comparisons, Uncategorized

Some of you may rush to your computer this morning and noticed that Gavin posted to let us know he found a “neat” way to ENSO correct data. Amazingly to any American, he did this at 7 pm, July 4th. If you are an avid reader of “The Blackboard”, [...]

Accounting For ENSO: Cochrane Orcutt

4 April, 2008 (12:21) | global climate change

Issues and Resolutions:
My recent falsification of the IPCC AR4 projection of 2C/century was criticized as flawed because:

It did not properly account for ENSO.
Cochrane-Orcutt, and its uncertainty bands apply only when the noise is AR(1).

I have addressed both issues (details below), and find the falsification still holds. It is important to note that this falsification [...]