The Blackboard

a number of people are asking for information on the relative forcings in Scenarios A, B, and C. Gavin previously provided lots of scenario data and some plots to support an earlier blog post at Real Climate. However, I, and others in conversations at various blogs are interested in knowing how the volcanos [...]

Yesterday, I announced my prediction of the global mean surface temperature (GMST) based on GISS Land/Ocean data. My prediction based on a very simple phenomenological model of climate with two parameters: time constant τ and inverse heat capacity α. I haven’t knocked all the kinks out of data analysis, but I made the [...]

The scope of this analysis is to illustrate how one determines the magnitude of the greenhouse increment of ΔT≅33 C often cited in discussions of the Greenhouse Effect (GHE). This is the difference between the average surface of the earth and an effective radiating temperature predicted by a very simple radiation balance. [...]

I plan to post random musings here.
Currently, I’m teaching myself, ‘R’ a statistical package. In the process, I’ll be learning more about the climate of Växjö, Sweden that anyone could possible wish to know.
I obtained a series of temperature profiles from: The European Climate Assessment Database. The data are contained in the [...]