The Blackboard

Nick Barnes at CCC invited me to encourage people to sign a petition to open up the IPCC. The petition describes both motivations and methods to facilitate the process of opening the IPCC to make the process more transparent. I’m going to run the preface for the letter, the full letter is here We have [...]

I thought some of you might be interested in a communication by John Anthony, Communications Director Climate and Energy United Nations Foundation Subject: IPCC communications meeting/call today at UN Foundation AGENDA 1. Introductions (5 mins) 2. Welcome/explanation of coordination efforts to date and gathering of partners (5 mins) 3. Where things stand (15 mins) 4. [...]

Since “everyone” (i.e. 1, 2, and 3) broke this story before me, I know you already know Pachauri has published a book many describe as smut or porn. I haven’t read it, so I can’t say whether it really is pornographic, but it’s protagonist does appear to fondle many women’s breasts and engage in numerous [...]

Zeke suggested we bet quatloos on whether or not Pachauri will cease to head the IPCC any time soon. So, here’s your chance. You must vote before Feb. 1. Since the script is set up to record temperature anomalies in C not dates. For that reason, the entry form doesn’t make much sense. Ignore things [...]

The density of information per unit time in videos is always low, so I’ll give my synopsis of Jonathan Leake’s major points: He expects more problems will come out in WGII reports. He suspects the authors tried to create a ‘too clear and simple a narrative’ for a complex process, and did not scrutinize work [...]

I’m reading calls for Pachauri to step down trumpeted all over the place. On the one hand, it appears he didn’t break any rules: The IPCC evidently has no rules governing conflict of interest. It’s not a violation for the head of the IPCC to run a company that can benefit financially from specific findings [...]

Many of you are used to seeing comparisons of observed and projected trends here. But I also sometimes cycle through to show comparison of absolute temperature anomalies to projections temperature anomalies using the baseline the authors of the IPCC AR1 selected when illustrating projections. That is: I show how temperature anomalies would appear if super-imposed [...]

Yesterday, Arthur Smith asked some good questions about my version of Figure 9.5. I answered in comments, but I think it’s worth repeating ‘above the fold’. These are Arthur’s questions: Hi Lucia, your graph doesn’t match the IPCC one very closely – why? Just looking around the 1998 El Nino peak, there are the following [...]

While visiting Climate Audit I clicked a link to web page that reminded me that Chapter 9 of the WG1 contribution to the IPCC AR4 used the 1901-1950 baseline to illustrate how well models hindcast the 20th century: The AR4 was published in 2007, so data end with the annual average data for 2005. Note [...]

Troposphere temps up or down? Yesterday, RSS said up; today, UAH says down. Here are the temperature anomalies since UAH began operation: UAH for March was 0.208 C; April’s 0.091 anomaly is C . That’s quite a drop! (In contrast, RSS rose 0.04C.) UAH for April 2008 was 0.015 C; April 2009 was 0.244C. Channeling [...]