More Fishy: How would you use Mannian Minimum Roughness to guess future data to “test” projections?
Ahhh… the joys of smoothing. The splendors of Mannian minimum roughness!
In comments, on articles in the “Fishy” series, people have been asking about the whole “end point condition” issue and how it relates to Rahmstorf’s foolish “method” of testing projections. (The Rahmstorf’s chosen method seems to involve a) guessing future data and b) smoothing [...]

