Has ClimateGate made anyone forget their bets on UAH? Well, time to remind you. As you know, in anticipation of Roy posting the monthly temperature anomaly for UAH, I post the anomaly from “the drifter” the Channel 5 AMSU. According to the Channel 5 AMSU, November was hot, hot, hot! Here’s a graph of anomalies relative to the monthly average during the baseline period:
If UAH matches Channel 5, many of us will have predicted low. That said: Channel 5 drifts and seems to have been reading high lately. If you want to remember what you bet, here ya’ go:
[sockulator(../musings/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/UAHBets2.php?Metric=UAH TTL?Units=C?cutOffMonth=11?cutOffDay=26?cutOffYear=2009?DateMetric=November, 2009? )sockulator]
My guess is that November in the NH will be considerably warmer (in anomaly) than October was. It appears that both Europe and North America had a pretty warm November while Siberia was cold. But I believe the November global anomaly will be less than September was for both Ch. 5 and Ch. 4 (which is what I generally watch).
Didn’t play this month because I’m rather light on quatloos (Saurian brandy and poorly selected thrall combat wagers, you know–who knew an Andorian with a lirpa could ever beat a Tellurite with a qutluch?…) but if I could have, I would have placed 5 Q on 0.492.
Any truth to the rumor that the proceeds this month go to the the Phil Jones legal defense fund?
I’d like to use my quatloos to buy a few collars of obediance from the Thralls of Triskelion. There are a few scientists that will be getting these as holiday presents from me as a condition of their continuing to be involved in climate research.
It was very hot in SE Australia. Here it beat the record for November by 2C. Similar across NSW, Vic and SA.
Following a VERY cold October, we had a VERY warm November in Wisconsin. I guess that works out to a net anomaly of 0 for the past two months, eh? 😉
… and Calfornia was rather nice for the end of November as well. Dec 1 and it turned “brisk” again!
cheers,
Robert