{"id":10848,"date":"2010-06-01T07:45:25","date_gmt":"2010-06-01T13:45:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/?p=10848"},"modified":"2010-06-29T10:44:58","modified_gmt":"2010-06-29T16:44:58","slug":"sea-ice-weekly-average-summer-minimum-longish-range-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/2010\/sea-ice-weekly-average-summer-minimum-longish-range-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Sea Ice Weekly-Average Summer Minimum: Longish Range Forecast."},"content":{"rendered":"

This is a big one: The weekly-average summer sea ice minimum bet! The rules for this one are:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. We use Jaxa Values posted here.<\/a> <\/li>\n
  2. On October 15, 2010, I’ll compute the 7 day average over 7 adjacent all adjacent days from January 2010 to October 15, 2010 to compute the running 7 day average of the most recent 7 reported values. (In case of drop outs, I still compute over 7 entries. This is the only way I know to deal with the possibility that Jaxa might fail to report for 7 days in a row.) Whoever gets closest to this value wins the quatloos. I anticipate this will be the minimum weekly average and it will probably be the minimum for the year. <\/li>\n
  3. Whoever gets closest to that 7 day average wins these quatloos. <\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Here is a late May image from JAXA:
    \n

    \"\"<\/a>
    Figure 1: Sea Ice As of May 28, 2010<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n


    \n[sockulator(..\/musings\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/09\/UAHBets2.php?Metric=NH Ice?Units=x 106<\/sup> km2<\/sup>?cutOffMonth=7?cutOffDay=1?cutOffYear=2010?DateMetric=NH Ice Weekly Ave Minimum? )sockulator]<\/p>\n

    Results older than 2 months will not be displayed to avoid taking my site down. <\/font><\/p>\n

    The cutoff day is recorded as 6\/30\/2010, which I think means the script close the first second of 6\/30\/2010 using a clock based in California. I’m going to schedule a “mid range” forecast bet to appear in July 1, and a “long range” forecast to appear in August 1. <\/p>\n

    For newbies: If you make a mistake entering your bet, just re-enter. For Europeans: The script speaks American. It thinks 10.1 = “ten + 1\/10th”; don’t write 10,1.<\/p>\n

    Discussion rules for Sea Ice Threads:<\/strong> Please keep your discussions focused on observations of, predictions of and bets on sea ice. If you want to debate what you consider to be unfair comment policies at other blogs, do so at the other blog.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    This is a big one: The weekly-average summer sea ice minimum bet! The rules for this one are: We use Jaxa Values posted here. On October 15, 2010, I’ll compute the 7 day average over 7 adjacent all adjacent days from January 2010 to October 15, 2010 to compute the running 7 day average of … Continue reading Sea Ice Weekly-Average Summer Minimum: Longish Range Forecast.<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[49],"tags":[334],"class_list":["post-10848","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-betting","tag-nh-ice"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10848","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10848"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10848\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10848"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10848"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10848"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}