{"id":16141,"date":"2011-07-20T08:33:51","date_gmt":"2011-07-20T14:33:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/?p=16141"},"modified":"2011-07-20T09:38:45","modified_gmt":"2011-07-20T15:38:45","slug":"bet-on-sea-ice-not-too-late","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/2011\/bet-on-sea-ice-not-too-late\/","title":{"rendered":"Bet on Sea Ice: Not too late!"},"content":{"rendered":"

I announced betting on the sea ice 2 weeks ago. Betting is open until the end of July. For those of you still figuring how you are going to estimate the 7-day minimum, I’m posting the current 7 day average, and plan to post again next Wednesday:
\n\"\"<\/a>
\nThe vertical lines denote the close of betting and the day I will declare the official winner. <\/p>\n

Of course, when betting on the minimum, it’s also worth considering the current loss rate in Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice Extent. I’ve plotted that as well:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Examining the graphs:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. The ice is exhibiting record low 7 day average of Jaxa sea ice observations for this time of year.(Data here<\/a>.)<\/li>\n
  2. The loss rate in sea ice is currently a record for this time of year.<\/li>\n
  3. Considering the current record low and high loss rates, it looks like we may set a record for the new low. <\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    As some know, I already entered a bet putting in a value very near last years 7 day minimum. But like everyone, I can revise my bet as new data arrives. I’ve got until July 31 to come up with a new bet. Right now, I’m contemplating entering a lower value– possibly very near the record low. <\/p>\n

    To bet visit the ice betting page<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    I announced betting on the sea ice 2 weeks ago. Betting is open until the end of July. For those of you still figuring how you are going to estimate the 7-day minimum, I’m posting the current 7 day average, and plan to post again next Wednesday: The vertical lines denote the close of betting … Continue reading Bet on Sea Ice: Not too late!<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[334],"class_list":["post-16141","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-data-comparisons","tag-nh-ice"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16141","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16141"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16141\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16141"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16141"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rankexploits.com\/musings\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16141"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}