53 thoughts on “Christmas Eve Haiku”

  11. Can’t do haiku. Merry Christmas to you, Mrs. L, and to Mr. L, and a very big Merry Christmas and best wishes to your Dad.

  15. j ferguson–
    Yes. Grizelda is the cat who came to dinner. She’s willing to pose for pictures. Mo and Pyewacket don’t really cooperate. Mo won’t look at the camera and Pye is 17 years old and mostly just sleeps now.

  17. Christmas Morning Cat Story:

    Spike and Hazel jumped on the bed as I was lying there. Spike sat on me and purred. Hazel tried to get me to scratch her, by head-butting my hand and biting my fingers.

    The End

    Merry Christmas Lucia and Everyone!

    Andrew

  18. I heard a bird sing
    In the dark of December.
    A magical thing
    And sweet to remember.

    ‘We are nearer to Spring
    Than we were in September,”
    I heard a bird sing
    In the dark of December.
    Oliver Herford

  21. Merry Christmas Lucia, and Happy New Year. Thanks for everything. Thanks also to Moshpit and Bender to keep everyone on point.

  23. BTW, I even extend my Merry Christmas to the archtypical leftist secular CONFORMIST freaks at SurrealClimate!

  25. Lucia

    He’s a great looking mogie. Would make a lovely pair of gloves for a xmas present! Only kidding

    Joyeux Fêtes. Bon nouvel ans.

  26. Jae–
    That’s Grizelda. She invaded our house in October.

    stephen–
    I read that cat fur isn’t good for clothing because all the fur falls out soon after you skin and process. Great defense mechanism for cats, huh?

  27. Lucia,
    Don’t believe everything they say. I had a coat with cat fur lining when I lived in Leningrad. It served me well, kept me warm for years. I am glad though that we have technology to replace animal fur with equally good man made stuff. Long live the cats! (Or dogs – as far as I am concerned).
    Happy Holidays!

  28. The Second Day Of Christmas Cat Story:

    This morning, I awoke to a menacing-looking black cat sitting very close to me on my bed, staring at me. It was a little disconcerting.

    Andrew

  30. Lucia

    Good thing is that cats don’t know that, so when I threaten mine early in the morning, when she is walking over me and puting a freezing cold nose in my eye, she runs away.

  32. “A Haiku is just like a normal American poem, except it doesn’t rhyme and it’s totally stupid.”
    Mr Garrison
    From the book “South Park Guide to Life”

  33. Third Day of Christmas Amusing Anecdote

    When I went to mass this morning, there was a young lady and her little adorable daughter in the pew in front of me (I didn’t know them). At one point, Little Miss was looking over her mother’s shoulder at me, and observing. I smiled and winked at her and she smiled and, after considering my appearance for a moment, stated:

    “DAD”

    Which made mommy blush and laugh.

    Andrew

  36. Hi Lucia, thanks for posting the haiku.

    Since Mr.Mc doesn’t seem to want to let me through his spam-filter, I thought I’d post a note here. Perhaps it will find its way to him.

    His attempt to match the station ids in CRU/MET with GCOS would be better done matching against the station ids in RBCN. I found a match for all but 61 stations. Most of the remaining stations seem to be in UK, FR, IE, NZ and a one each in Liberia, Bahamas, and Bermuda. Feels to me like the left-overs might be some kind of “anglo” or “met” network with a data share with France.
    ftp://ftp.wmo.int/wmo-ddbs/RBCN_DEC2009.xls
    http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/ois/rbsn-rbcn/rbsn-rbcn-home.htm

    The station ids in the CRU/MET which also match the RBCN posted above matched with those used in the “Monthly Climatic Data for the World” published below. Although the ‘orphan’ list is much longer: a quick count leaves me with 496 orphan. What’s more, for those station ids which do match, a _quick_ spot check of a _few_ values seems to match the CRU/MET monthly mean data with the MCDW monthly means.
    http://www7.ncdc.noaa.gov/IPS/mcdw/mcdw.html

    Anyway, I though I’d throw this out there in case it is of any help for those working on the CRU/MET data reconstruction.

  37. Lucia,

    Mommy and little one had already fled (I presume to the cry room) before the sign of peace. No chance to put my “game” to the test. 😉

    FYI – The Bengals are AFC North champs and are playoff bound. WHO DEY!

    Andrew

  39. Andrew_KY:

    The Bengals are AFC North champs and are playoff bound. WHO DEY!

    Wat!?

    Wow, gratz man. Used to follow the Bungles Bengals myself. 🙄

  40. Carrick,

    Jump back on the Bengals Bandwagon, my good man. There’s plenty of room! 😉

    Andrew

  41. Kentucky Weather Report

    We got the beautiful dusting of snow overnight I’ve been waiting for, and it’s cloudy and cold. The streets were icy and slippery, driving last night, but they did a good job treating them for this morning. Kudos to the Kentucky Road Crews.

    Andrew

  47. Happy New Year, Lucia. “May the sun shine warm upon your face.” Irish well wish.

  49. Happy New Year, although I’m coming a bit late with it…

    BTW, Lucia, did you notice, that Tamino is at war with you again? Apparently, after making adjustments for ENSO and various other influences, 2009 is THE hottest year evvah…

  50. EW–
    I’ve had a very bad cold during the holidays. So between sleeping and and family events, I haven’t been surfing much. (I did finish knitting a sweater and need to go buy buttons today. Knitting is an excellent past time when you are sneezing incessantly.) So, if we adjust for ENSO, 2009 is the hottest ever? Do 2010 is expected to be dominated by ENSO. Do you suppose that next year, he’ll ENSO adjust to knock it down? Or is this something one does only during nearly ENSO neutral years?

    When Dec. temps come out, I’ll post on testing models. 🙂

  51. Hi Lucia,

    Belated Happy New Year to you and yours. I hope you get over your cold soon.

    Tamino used the Multi-variate ENSO Index, and regressed the GISS temperature history against that index and the Amman et al. 2003 estimate of volcanic forcing. He then “removed” the ENSO and volcanic effects by subtracting the products of the regression coefficient and the the two variables from the GISS temperature data.

    Finally, he did the same ARMA(1,1) analysis on the adjusted as he has done before, to show the adjusted data does not statistically differ from a linear temperature increase of ~0.0165C (looks like this value on his graphic) per year since 1975.

    Were I allowed to post there, I would ask: 1) Why not regress as well against the measured 2-3% increase in solar brightness at the surface since 1993 (AKA global brightening)? 2) Is the linear trend of ~0.0165 per year since 1975 consistent with the model projections?

  52. Steve–
    If I take the difference of the models and either GISS or HadCrut since 1980, and compute the number of degrees of freedom based on what we expect for ARMA(1,1), the models reject. I’m going to be posting this also showing the results starting in 1950, 1960, 1970, 1990, 2000 and 2001– but I figured I’d wait until December data come in.

    The models account for the volcanic effects in a way that accounts for the heat capacity of the earth’s climate. That is to say: a more physically realistic way than any regression on some sort of parameter. It’s possible that using a less physically realistic method to account for volcanoes makes a difference.

    I haven’t tried to account for ENSO. That’s endogenous, so I usually prefer to keep that as “noise”. That said, maybe I’ll look at that later to see what it does.

  53. Lucia,
    Nice to see you’re back.

    SteveF,

    Why not regress as well against the measured 2-3% increase in solar brightness at the surface since 1993

    Are you referring to changes in cloud cover? That would be an interesting variable to include an a regression analysis. I’ve recently been looking at such data for an upcoming post.

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